[1]陈培然,陈 钟,陈江云.基于反向聚类法的水利工程造价风险因素研究[J].江苏水利,2017,(09):62-68.
　CHEN Peiran,CHEN Zhong,CHEN Jiangyun.Study on risk factors of water conservancy project cost based on reverse clustering method[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(09):62-68.
点击复制

基于反向聚类法的水利工程造价风险因素研究()
分享到：

《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2017年09期
页码:
62-68
栏目:
工程建设
出版日期:
2017-09-09

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on risk factors of water conservancy project cost based on reverse clustering method
文章编号:
1007-7839（2017）09-0062-07
作者:
陈培然; 陈 钟; 陈江云
江苏省洪泽湖水利工程管理处，江苏 淮安 223100
Author(s):
CHEN Peiran; CHEN Zhong; CHEN Jiangyun
The Hongze Lake Water Conservancy Project Management Office of Jiangsu Province，Huai'an 223100， Jiangsu
关键词:
造价风险; 水利工程; 关键风险; 聚类分析
Keywords:
cost risk; water conservancy project; key risk; cluster analysis
分类号:
[TV-9]
文献标志码:
B
摘要:
水利工程项目造价风险关键因素的识别是对其潜在风险损失进行有效控制的前提。当前水利工程项目造价控制中存在诸多风险，且风险对项目造价的影响程度不尽相同。为了更好地对水利工程项目造价风险进行有效控制，通过问卷调查，运用有向聚类法分析识别水利工程造价的各种风险因素，归纳总结出了相对突出的风险因素。对这些风险因素的提炼，有助于水利工程造价人员理解并规避造价的风险。
Abstract:
The identification of key risk factors in water conservancy project cost is the premise of effective control of its potential risk loss.There are many risks in the cost control of water conservancy projects, and the risks have different Influence degree on project cost.In order to better control the risk of water conservancy project cost effectively, through questionnaire survey, all risk factors of water conservancy project cost were analyzed and analyzed by using directional clustering method, and relatively prominent risk factors were summarized.The refinement of these risk factors would help the water conservancy project cost personnel understanding and avoiding the risk of construction cost.

参考文献/References:

[1] 王利兵.水利水电工程造价管理中存在的问题及解决对策分析[J].中国水运（下半月），2013，（06）:158+160.
[2] Kim B C，Reinschmidt K F.Combination of projectcost forecasts in earned value management[J].Journalof Construction Engineering and Management，2011，137（11）: 958-966.
[3] Dikmen I，Birgonul M T，Tah J H M，et al.Web-basedrisk assessment tool using integrated duration-cost in-fluence network model[J].Journal of ConstructionEngineering and Management，2012，138（9）: 1023-1034.
[4] 孙海虹，叶晓甦.基于蒙特卡罗模拟技术的工程造价风险因素分析[J].重庆建筑大学学报，2005，（06）:121-126.
[5] 谢赤，张娟，孙柏.大型水电工程造价风险评估及其关键因素识别[J].水力发电学报，2010，（03）: 63-68+75.
[6] 朱文喜，袁江雅，何欣，等.高速公路工程造价风险群体可拓评价模型[J].科技进步与对策，2012，（18）: 91-94.
[7] 孔令祯，张云宁，杨骏，等.基于集对分析法的工程项目造价风险评价[J].土木工程与管理学报，2016，（01）:90-96.
[8] 田方军，董静.企业技术创新风险的聚类分析：一项实证研究[J].科技进步与对策，2007，01:120-123.

相似文献/References:

[1]张蕴倩,曹 瑛,胡继成,等.新形势下创新水利工程档案管理的途径[J].江苏水利,2016,(01):69.
[2]何玉良,余春福,庄培源.水利工程代建制的实践与思考[J].江苏水利,2016,(02):52.
　HE Yuliang,YU Chunfu,ZHUANG Peiyuan.Practice and thinking about agent construction system of water conservancy project[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):52.
[3]张友明,陈 莉,陈中飞,等.水利工程螺杆启闭机危险因素的识别与处理[J].江苏水利,2016,(02):62.
　ZHANG Youming,CHEN Li,CHEN Zhongfei,et al.Risk factors identifying and processing for screw hoist ofwater conservancy project[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):62.
[4]鞠大为,贾 健,张 艺,等.江苏与皖、鲁、浙、豫四省水利工程征迁移民 补偿政策对比研究[J].江苏水利,2016,(04):56.
　JU Dawei,JIA Jian,ZHANG Yi,et al.Comparison and analysis of water conservancy project resettlement compensation policy among Jiangsu，Anhui，Shandong，Zhejiang and Henan provinces[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):56.
[5]张 莉,周子成,陶晓东.海安县北凌新闸除险加固工程代建初探[J].江苏水利,2016,(06):60.
　ZHANG Li,ZHOU Zicheng,TAO Xiaodong.Primary exploration on agent construction system of Beiling new sluice reinforcement project in Haian County[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):60.
[6]王金东,韦 勇.浅析省属水利工程管理机构处罚权和 行政强制措施实施权的冲突[J].江苏水利,2016,(07):39.
　WANG Jindong,WEI Yong.Initial analysis of conflict about punishment right and implementation right of administrative compulsory measures for provincial water conservancy project management organization[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):39.
[7]赵 英,吴 钢.水利工程管理考核工作的实践与思考 ——以无锡城市防洪工程管理为例[J].江苏水利,2016,(07):65.
　ZHAO Ying,WU Gang.Practice and thinking on assessment of water conservancy project management[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):65.
[8]张建成,姜以才,严云翔.金坛“四位一体”长效管护的实践与创新[J].江苏水利,2016,(09):56.
　ZHANG Jiancheng,JIANG Yicai,YAN Yunxiang.Practice and innovation of "four in one" long-term management and protection in Jintan[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):56.
[9]沈芳芳.在水利工程领域推广钢结构的可行性分析[J].江苏水利,2016,(11):69.
　SHEN Fangfang.Feasibility analysis of popularization and application of steel structurein the field of hydraulic engineering[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(09):69.
[10]王继光,张海虹,刘占明.临洪东站自排闸消能防冲设施浅析[J].江苏水利,2017,(04):54.
　WANG Jiguang,ZHANG Haihong,LIU Zhanming.Analysis of energy dissipating and anti-scour facility of self discharging gate in Linhong east station[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(09):54.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
作者简介：陈培然（1992-），男，本科，助理工程师，研究方向为水利工程管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-09-15