[1]徐铭,甄峰,安浩,等.南水北调东线工程主要水源径流年内分配特征及演变规律[J].江苏水利,2026,(08):20-25.
 XU Ming,ZHEN Feng,AN Hao,et al.Characteristics and evolution patterns of intra-annual distribution of runoff from main water sources in the eastern route of the south-to-north water diversion project[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2026,(08):20-25.
点击复制

南水北调东线工程主要水源径流年内分配特征及演变规律()

《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2026年08期
页码:
20-25
栏目:
水文水资源
出版日期:
2026-08-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Characteristics and evolution patterns of intra-annual distribution of runoff from main water sources in the eastern route of the south-to-north water diversion project
文章编号:
1007-7839(2026)08-0020-0006
作者:
徐铭甄峰安浩齐非凡
(江苏省水利工程科技咨询股份有限公司,江苏 南京 210029)
Author(s):
XU Ming ZHEN Feng AN Hao QI Feifan
(Jiangsu Water Conservancy Engineering Technology Consulting Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210029, China)
关键词:
南水北调东线工程洪泽湖骆马湖径流演变
Keywords:
the Eastern Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project Hongze Lake Luoma Lake runoff evolution
分类号:
TV212
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为揭示南水北调东线工程主要水源来水过程的年内分配规律及长期演变特征,基于1959—2020年长江、洪泽湖和骆马湖径流资料,采用年内分配分析、年内不均匀系数、Mann-Kendall趋势检验及Pettitt突变检验等方法,系统分析了多水源径流过程的季节分配特征及变化规律。相关研究结果可为南水北调东线工程江苏段多水源联合调度与水资源优化配置提供科学依据。
Abstract:
To reveal the intra-annual distribution patterns and long-term evolution characteristics of the water inflow process from the main sources of the eastern route of the south-to-north water diversion project, this study systematically analyzed the seasonal distribution features and variation patterns of multi-source runoff processes using methods such as intra-annual distribution analysis, intra-annual unevenness coefficient, Mann-Kendall trend test, and Pettitt change point test, based on runoff data from the Yangtze River, Hongze Lake, and Luoma Lake from 1959 to 2020. The findings provide a scientific basis for the joint operation and optimal allocation of multi-source water resources in the Jiangsu section of the eastern route of the south-to-north water diversion project.

参考文献/References:

[1]钟华昱,方国华,闻昕,等. 洪泽湖和骆马湖北调水位控制对南水北调东线工程江苏段水量调度的影响[J]. 水资源保护,2026,42(1):49-58,212.
[2]刘为锋,郭旭宁,李云玲,等. 南水北调东线一期工程补偿调度研究[J]. 中国工程科学,2025,27(5):236-248.
[3]ZHONG H Y,WU S Y, YAN M,et al. Derivation of optimalscheduling strategies for large-scale inter-basin water transfer projects considering stream flow wet-dry encounter uncertainty of multiple reservoirs[J]. Journal of Hydrology.2025,662:133784.
[4]李昕阳,郭旭宁,李维雨,等. 南水北调东线工程优化调度与区段水源组成分析[J]. 水资源保护,2025,41(3):171-178.
[5]刘为锋,李云玲,卢庆文,等. 新形势下南水北调东线工程主要水源来水演变规律及适应性对策[J]. 水资源保护,2025,41(2):165-172,192.
[6]刘猛,姚梅,梅海鹏. 人类活动影响下洪泽湖水位变化特征分析[J]. 水科学与工程技术,2024(4):11-14.
[7]GUO Y X,TIAN X,FANG G H,et al. Many-objective optimization with improved shuffled frog leaping algorithm for inter-basin water transfers[J]. Advances in Water Resources,2020,138:103531.
[8]丁海云,叶津辰,陈娟,等. 南水北调东线工程沿线湖泊近40年径流演变规律[J]. 南水北调与水利科技(中英文),2025,23(6):1307-1316.
[9]曹明霖,徐斌,王腊春,等. 跨区域调水多水源水库群系统供水联合优化调度多情景优化模型研究与应用[J]. 南水北调与水利科技,2019,17(6):54-61,112.
[10]丁凯森,徐宝山,丁锐,等. 疏勒河干流1956—2023年径流量时空变化及突变特征[J]. 水利技术监督,2026(8):227-231.
[11]姚新旺. 新疆塔里木盆地典型河流近60余年径流变化分析[J]. 水利科学与寒区工程,2026,9(3):61-64.
[12]李伯根,余娅丽,程国森,等. 珠江源区水文情势变化特征分析[J]. 水文,2025,45(6):81-90.
[13]张睿康,徐长江,陈玺,等. 长江流域典型枯水年径流时空演变特征分析[J]. 水资源保护,2025,41(4):151-158,179.
[14]舒章康,张建云,金君良,等. 1961—2018年中国主要江河枯季径流演变特征与成因[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2021,17(3):340-351.
[15]谢葆. 迪那河流域降水与径流年内分配特征分析[J]. 黑龙江水利科技,2023,51(12):72-74,125.
[16]张侨,汤飞飞,蒙天易. 锦江近70 a径流变化特性分析[J]. 黑龙江水利科技,2026,54(2):7-12.

相似文献/References:

[1]张继路,赵黎明.基于分形理论的洪泽湖洪水分期研究[J].江苏水利,2016,(07):15.
 ZHANG Jilu,ZHAO Liming.Study on flood stage of Hongze Lake based on Fractal Theory[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(08):15.
[2]唐荣桂,郑福寿,吴晓兵.洪泽湖网格化管理探索[J].江苏水利,2017,(03):34.
 TANG Ronggui,ZHENG Fushou,WU Xiaobing.Exploration on grid management of Hongze Lake[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(08):34.
[3]王智源,*,刘劲松,等.洪泽湖水生态健康综合评价指标体系[J].江苏水利,2017,(04):39.
 WANG Zhiyuan,*,LIU Jinsong,et al.Comprehensive evaluation index system of water ecological health of Hongze Lake[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(08):39.
[4]郭 军,朱海锋,陈 娟,等.洪泽湖周边滞洪区的建设与管理研究[J].江苏水利,2018,(11):31.
 GUO Jun,ZHU Haifeng,CHEN Juan,et al.Study on the construction and management of the flood detention area around Hongze Lake[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2018,(08):31.
[5]霍中元,王莉莉.2019年洪泽湖干旱成因及抗旱效益分析[J].江苏水利,2020,(09):58.
 HUO Zhongyuan,WANG Lili.Analysis of drought causes and drought resistance benefits in Hongze Lake in 2019[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2020,(08):58.
[6]徐亚东,毛晓文.洪泽湖北部主要入湖河道阵发性水质污染原因分析及预防措施[J].江苏水利,2020,(11):4.
 Xu Yadong,Mao Xiaowen.Causes analysis and preventive measures of paroxysmal water pollution in the main channels entering lake in northern Hongze Lake[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2020,(08):4.
[7]陈昌仁,张立师.提高洪泽湖治理保护能力的思考[J].江苏水利,2021,(04):58.
 CHEN Changren,ZHANG Lishi.Thoughts on improving management and protection ability of Hongze Lake[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2021,(08):58.
[8]魏佳豪,钟威,张颖,等.1990—2020年洪泽湖环湖地区生态系统服务价值变化[J].江苏水利,2022,(04):51.
 WEI Jiahao,ZHONG Wei,ZHANG Ying,et al.Ecosystem service value changes in the areas around the Hongze Lake in recent 30 years(from 1990 to 2020)[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(08):51.
[9]李凯,喻桂成,吴健,等.洪泽湖生态岛屿近岸防护工程优化设计研究[J].江苏水利,2023,(03):10.
 LI Kai,YU Guicheng,WU Jian,et al.Study on the optimal design of the coastal protection engineering of the Hongze Lake ecological island[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2023,(08):10.
[10]侯钧宇,陈栋,王凯,等.南水北调东线工程典型供排闸站施工导流分析研究[J].江苏水利,2024,(03):33.
 HOU Junyu,CHEN Dong,WANG Kai,et al.Analysis and research on the construction diversion of typical supply and discharge gate stations in the East Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2024,(08):33.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2026-05-13
作者简介:徐铭(1993—),男,工程师,硕士,主要从事水利规划设计工作。E-mail: 499639168@qq.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2026-08-01