[1]管晓祥,姚新宇,沈 婕,等.基于分布式模型的多维动态临界雨量山洪预警研究[J].江苏水利,2017,(12):42-46.
　GUAN Xiaoxiang,YAO Xinyu,SHEN Jie,et al.Study on multidimensional dynamic critical rainfall flash flood warning based on distributed model[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(12):42-46.
点击复制

基于分布式模型的多维动态临界雨量山洪预警研究()
分享到：

《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2017年12期
页码:
42-46
栏目:
水文水资源
出版日期:
2018-01-05

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on multidimensional dynamic critical rainfall flash flood warning based on distributed model
文章编号:
1007-7839（2017）12-0042-05
作者:
管晓祥; 姚新宇; 沈 婕; 宋耀榕; 楚汉琛
河海大学水文水资源学院，江苏 南京 210098
Author(s):
GUAN Xiaoxiang; YAO Xinyu; SHEN Jie; SONG Yaorong; CHU Hanchen
College of Hydrology and Water Resources，Hohai University，Nanjing 210098，Jiangsu
关键词:
上流流域; 山洪预警; 多维动态临界雨量; HEC-HMS 模型
Keywords:
upstream basin; flash flood warning; multidimensional dynamic critical rainfall; HEC-HMS model
分类号:
TV122+.1
文献标志码:
B
摘要:
根据国内外山洪预警预报技术的最新进展，提出了以HEC-HMS 模型为基础，考虑土壤含水量和起涨水位的多维动态临界雨量山洪预警方法。结合上流水文站1993 ～2003年实测资料，率定HEC-HMS 模型参数，确定预警时间、预警流量以及雨型分配等关键因素，计算多维动态临界雨量，建立了山洪动态预警方案，经过历史致灾洪水检验，结果可靠。
Abstract:
According to the latest progress of mountain flood warning and prediction technology at home and abroad and based on the HEC-HMS model, a multidimensional dynamic critical rainfall flash flood warning method considering soil water content and rising water level was proposed.Combined with the measured data of upstream hydrological station from 1993 to 2003, the HEC-HMS model parameters were calibrated to determine the key factors of warning time, early warning flow and rain flow rate distribution, calculate the multidimensional dynamic critical rainfall, sets up a dynamic early warning scheme.After historical disaster flood test, the results were reliable.

参考文献/References:

[1] 全国山洪灾害防治规划领导小组办公室.山洪灾害临界雨量分析计算细则[Z].2003.
[2] 叶勇，王振宇，范波芹.浙江省小流域山洪灾害临界雨量确定方法分析[J].水文，2008（01）:56-58.
[3] 江锦红，邵利萍.基于降雨观测资料的山洪预警标准[J].水利学报，2010（04）:458-463.
[4] 陈文辉.山洪灾害防治非工程措施中预警指标的确定——以甘肃省陇南市宕昌县为例[J].广东水利水电，2011（03）:65-67.
[5] 陈桂亚，袁雅鸣.山洪灾害临界雨量分析计算方法研究[J].人民长江，2005，36（12）:40-43.
[6] 王鑫，曹志先，谈广鸣.暴雨山洪水动力学模型及初步应用[J].武汉大学学报（工学版），2009（04）:413-416.
[7] U.S.Department of Commerce，National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration，National Weather Service.Modernized Areal Flash Flood Guidance [R].1992.
[8] Carpenter T M，Georgakakos K P.GIS-based procedures in support of flash flood guidance [R].IIHR Report No.366，Iowa Institute of Hydraulic Research.Iowa City: The University of Iowa，1993.
[9] FLOODsite.Realtime Guidance for Flash Flood Risk Management[R].2008.
[10] Georgakakos K P.Advances in forecasting flash floods[C].//The CCNAA-AIT Joint Seminar on Prediction and Damage Mitigation of Meteorologically Induced Natural Disasters.Taiwan: National Taiwan University.1992.
[11] Sperfslage J A，Georgakakos K P，Carpenter T M，et al.Centra America Flash Flood Guidance （CAFFG） User’s Guide[R].San Diego: HRC Limited Distribution Report No.21.Hydrologic Research Center.
[12] Sweeney T L.Modernized areal flash flood guidance[R].NOAA Technical Report NWS HYDRO 44，Hydrology Laboratory，National Weather Service，NOAA，Silver Spring，MD，1992.
[13] Liu Z，Martina M，Todini E.Flood forecasting using a fullydistributed model: application to the Upper Xixian Catchment[J].Hydrology and Earth System Sciences （HESS）.2005，9（4）:347.
[14] 河南省防汛抗旱指挥部办公室，河南省水文水资源局，中国矿业大学，北京天智祥信息科技有限公司.山洪灾害预报预警系统工程[R].2009.
[15] 刘志雨.基于动态临界雨量的中小河流山洪预警方法及其应用[C].中国水利学会2010 学术年会论文集（上册）.2010.
[16] Japan National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management.Operating methods of Critical Rainfall for Warning and Evacuation from Sediment-Related Disasters [R].2001.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2017-08-28
作者简介：管晓祥（1995-），男，本科，研究方向为水文水资源。
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-12-15