[1]尹一帆,杨菲,王珏,等.城市小尺度湖泊蓝绿藻时间过程模拟研究[J].江苏水利,2025,(10):39-43.
　YIN Yifan,YANG Fei,WANG Jue,et al.Research on temporal process simulation of cyanobacteria and green algae in urban small scale lakes[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2025,(10):39-43.
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城市小尺度湖泊蓝绿藻时间过程模拟研究()

《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2025年10期
页码:
39-43
栏目:
水生态与环境
出版日期:
2025-10-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on temporal process simulation of cyanobacteria and green algae in urban small scale lakes
文章编号:
1007-7839（2025）10-0039-0005
作者:
尹一帆; 杨菲; 王珏; 芮文静; 郁洁; 黄金柏
（扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院，江苏 扬州 225009）
Author(s):
YIN Yifan;  YANG Fei;  WANG Jue;  RUI Wenjing;  YU Jie;  HUANG Jinbai
(College of Hydraulic Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China)
关键词:
城市湖泊; 水质; Phyco浓度; 自回归分布滞后模型（ARDL）
Keywords:
urban lakes;  water quality;  Phyco concentration;  autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL)
分类号:
X524
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
选取近扬州市中心区域一小尺度人工湖为研究区，基于实测Phyco浓度、水温（WT）、溶解氧浓度（DO）、酸碱度（pH）数据，评价Phyco浓度与同期WT、DO、pH序列的相关性；构建Phyco浓度自回归分布滞后模型（ARDL），通过对Phyco浓度模拟结果的误差分析评价模型的实用性。结果表明：ARDL适用于解释各水质因子（WT、DO、pH）对Phyco浓度的影响，可对Phyco浓度时间序列进行精度较高的模拟，NSE达0.832，研究结果以期为城市湖泊Phyco浓度时间过程模拟以及构建时间序列模型开展水质模拟研究提供方法上的参考。
Abstract:
A small scale artificial lake which is located at near the central area of the Yangzhou City was adopted as the study area. Based on the observed data of Phyco concentration, water temperature (WT), dissolved oxygen concentration (DO), and pH, the correlations between the Phyco concentration and the temporal series of WT, DO, and pH during the same period were evaluated. An autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) of Phyco concentration has been developed. The applicability of the ARDL was validated through the error analysis of the simulation results of Phyco concentration. The results showed that ARDL was suitable for explaining the influence of various water quality factors (WT, DO, pH) on Phyco concentration; ARDL could simulate the Phyco concentration temporal series with relatively high accuracy (NSE=0.832). The research results are expected to provide the methodological references for the simulations of the temporal process of Phyco concentration in urban lakes and the development of temporal series models for water quality simulation researches.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2025-05-21
基金项目：江苏水利科技项目（2021050）；扬州大学2024年大学生创新创业基金项目（XCX20240554）
作者简介：尹一帆（2004—），女，本科，主要从事水文模拟及预报方面的研究。E-mail: 1095958895@qq.com
通信作者：黄金柏（1974—），男，副教授，博士，研究方向为水文模拟、流域水文、陆面过程等。E-mail: huangjinbai@aliyun.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2025-10-01