[1]陈柏丽,陈少颖,胡庆芳,等.江苏省太湖流域梅雨与台风遭遇规律研究[J].江苏水利,2019,(02):11-14+20.
　CHEN Baili,CHEN Shaoying,HU Qingfang,et al.Study on the regularity of Meiyu and Typhoon in Taihu Lake Basin of Jiangsu Province[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2019,(02):11-14+20.
点击复制

江苏省太湖流域梅雨与台风遭遇规律研究()
分享到：

《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2019年02期
页码:
11-14+20
栏目:
水文水资源
出版日期:
2019-03-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on the regularity of Meiyu and Typhoon in Taihu Lake Basin of Jiangsu Province
文章编号:
1007-7839（2019）02-0011-04
作者:
陈柏丽1; 3; 陈少颖1; 胡庆芳2; 赵 静2; 吴苏舒1
1.江苏省水利科学研究院，江苏 南京 210017； 2.南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室，江苏 南京 210029； 3.河海大学水文水资源学院，江苏 南京 210098
Author(s):
CHEN Baili1; 3; CHEN Shaoying1; HU Qingfang2; ZHAO Jing2; WU Sushu1
1.Jiangsu Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research，Nanjing 210017，Jiangsu； 2.Hydrology and Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering State key Laboratory of Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute science，Nanjing 210029，Jiangsu； 3.College of Hydrology and Water Resources，Hohai University，Nanjing 210098，Jiangsu
关键词:
江苏省; 太湖流域; 梅雨; 台风
Keywords:
Jiangsu Province; Taihu Lake Basin; Meiyu; Typhoon
分类号:
TV125
文献标志码:
B
摘要:
梅雨和台风是导致江苏省太湖地区洪涝灾害的主要气象原因，研究两者的遭遇规律对流域防洪排涝及水资源调度具有重要的意义。基于1954～2017年梅雨与台风的同步资料，研究两者的历年变化特征、影响时间、台风路径、雨量等，并统计分析64 a梅雨与台风遭遇的可能事件。结果表明：研究期内梅雨期长度及梅雨量年际分布不均，整体呈上升趋势，多年平均梅雨期长度和梅雨量分别为22.8 d和225.8 mm；百年一遇梅雨量为660.8 mm 50年一遇梅雨量为590.7 mm；梅雨遭遇的台风共有34场，遭遇的概率为14.1%，其中6场为“入梅”遭遇，20场为“正面”遭遇，8场为“出梅”遭遇。
Abstract:
Meiyu and typhoon are the main meteorological causes of flood disasters in Taihu Lake area of Jiangsu Province.It is of great significance to study the encounter regularity of them for flood control and drainage and water resources dispatch in the basin.Based on the synchronous data of Meiyu and typhoon from 1954 to 2017, the characteristics of their changes over the years, influencing time, typhoon track and rainfall were studied, and the possible events of Meiyu and typhoon in 64 years were analyzed.The results showed that the length of Meiyu period and the annual distribution of Meiyu amount were uneven, and the overall trend was upward.The average length of Meiyu period were 22.8 days and Meiyu amount were 225.8 mm, respectively; the once-in-a-century Meiyu amount was 660.8 mm, and the once-in-50 Meiyu amount was 590.7 mm; there were 34 typhoons encountered by Meiyu with a probability of 14.1%, of which 6 were Meiyu encounters and 20 were positive encounters, 8 encounters for out of plum.

参考文献/References:

[1]刘勇，王银堂，陈元芳，等.太湖流域梅雨时空演变规律研究[J].水文，2011，31（03）:36-43.
[2]崔婷婷，王银堂，刘勇，等.影响太湖流域的台风演变规律分析[J].水文，2012，32（02）:54-58.
[3]Krishna R，Sugi M. Baiu Rainfall Variability and Associated Monsoon Teleconnections[J].Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan，2001，79（3）:851-860.
[4]Zhu T， Zhang D L.The impact of the storm-induced SST cooling on hurricane intensity[J].Advances inAtmospheric Science，2006，23（1）:14-22.
[5]李崇银，顾薇，潘静.梅雨与北极涛动及平流层环流异常的关联[J].地球物理学报，2008（06）:1632-1641.
[6]玉芳.台风频数变化特征及其统计分布[D].中国海洋大学，2009.
[7]陈旭，李栋梁.新标准下江淮梅雨特征的分析[J].气象科学，2016，36（02）:165-175.
[8]何诗秀，傅秀琴.梅雨和台风年际变化及其关系的研究[J].气象，1992（03）:8-12+18.
[9]任金声.南海登陆热带气旋与江淮出梅[J].气象，1993（03）:25-28.
[10]孙彭龄.浙江的梅雨和台风年际变化[J].浙江气象科技，1999（03）:20-23.
[11]朱哲，钟中，哈瑶.江淮梅雨与梅雨期西北太平洋热带气旋的关系[J].气象科学，2017，37（04）:522-528.
[12]陈永林，曹晓岗.热带气旋及相关天气系统对上海强梅雨的影响分析[J].热带气象学报，2006（04）:326-330.
[13]胡四一，王宗志，王银堂，等.太湖流域台风与梅雨遭遇概率分析[J].中国科学:技术科学，2011，41（04）:426-435.
[14]刘玉刚.太湖水质时空变化及其对流域降雨增加响应的数值模拟[D].暨南大学，2017.
[15]黄玉莹，夏霆，陈静，等.江苏省太湖流域河道外生态需水研究分析[J].人民珠江，2016，37（07）:72-77.

相似文献/References:

[1]张耀华,孙 雯,朱 喜,等.太湖流域平原城市洪涝防治思路[J].江苏水利,2016,(01):56.
[2]张劲松.精准调度的实践与思考[J].江苏水利,2016,(11):1.
　ZHANG Jinsong.Practice and consideration for accurate and precise regulation[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2016,(02):1.
[3]赵一晗,贺路忠,朱向远.江苏淮北四市尾水导流工程的调查和思考[J].江苏水利,2018,(02):53.
　ZHAO Yihan,He Luzhong,ZHU Xiangyuan.The Investigation and reflection on tail water diversion project of four cities in Huaibei District of Jiangsu[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2018,(02):53.
[4]徐天奕.太湖流域城市群供水安全保障对策研究[J].江苏水利,2018,(06):8.
　XU Tianyi.Study on the countermeasures of water supply security for urban agglomeration in Taihu Basin[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2018,(02):8.
[5]陈春伟,邹轶波,王 磊,等.微循环对村镇断头河道水土保持特性的影响[J].江苏水利,2021,(05):1.
　CHEN Chunwei,ZOU Yibo,WANG Lei,et al.Effect of microcirculation on soil and water conservation characteristics of broken channels in villages and towns[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2021,(02):1.
[6]陈卫东,华晨,费国松,等.太湖流域沿江苏长江段缺测引排水量推算 ——以澡港闸为例[J].江苏水利,2022,(03):61.
　CHEN Weidong,HUA Chen,FEI Guosong,et al.Study on the calculation method of the unmeasured water diversion and drainage along the Yangtze River in Jiangsu Province in Taihu Lake Basin: a case study of Zaogang Gate[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(02):61.
[7]殷鹏,张建华,华萍,等.2021年太湖安全度夏水利措施效益分析[J].江苏水利,2022,(07):26.
　YIN Peng,ZHANG Jianhua,HUA Ping,et al.Benefit analysis of water conservancy measures for safe summer in Lake Taihu in 2021[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(02):26.
[8]万晓凌,刘淼,刘俊杰,等.江苏省长江引排水及调水特性分析[J].江苏水利,2022,(增刊1):50.
　WAN Xiaoling,LIU Miao,LIU Junjie,et al.Analysis on water diversion, drainage and water transfer characteristics of the Yangtze River in Jiangsu Province[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(02):50.
[9]金美华,吴心艺,夏熙,等.吴淞江瓜泾口枢纽规模论证分析[J].江苏水利,2022,(08):6.
　JIN Meihua,WU Xinyi,XIA Xi,et al.Demonstration and analysis on the scale of Guajingkou Sluice Project of Wusong River[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(02):6.
[10]付梁其,何晓静*,李勋章,等.基于AquaCrop模型江苏农业用水效率多因素分析[J].江苏水利,2022,(09):43.
　FU Liangqi,HE Xiaojing,LI Xunzhang,et al.Multi-factor regression analysis of agricultural water efficiency in Jiangsu Province based on AquaCrop crop-water productivity model[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2022,(02):43.
[11]吴小靖,柳子豪,钟栗,等.江苏省太湖地区沿江潮位特征要素变化分析[J].江苏水利,2023,(11):1.
　WU Xiaojing,LIU Zihao,ZHONG Li,et al.Analysis of the characteristic values of tidal level of Taihu Basin in Jiangsu Province[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2023,(02):1.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2018-10-19 基金项目：江苏省水利科技项目：江苏省太湖流域致灾性降雨遭遇及其防洪影响研究（2017022）；地表关键水文特征参数定量获取技术及其水文应用（2017038）。 作者简介：陈柏丽（1993—），女，硕士研究生，研究方向为水资源与水环境。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-02-15