[1]白立影,戴凤君,谭 亚,等.镇江站天文潮预报模型研究[J].江苏水利,2017,(10):40-43.
　BAI Liying,DAI Fengjun,TAN Ya,et al.Study on prediction model of astronomical tide in Zhenjiang Station[J].JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES,2017,(10):40-43.
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镇江站天文潮预报模型研究()
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《江苏水利》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2017年10期
页码:
40-43
栏目:
水文水资源
出版日期:
2017-10-19

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on prediction model of astronomical tide in Zhenjiang Station
文章编号:
1007-7839（2017）10-0040-04
作者:
白立影1; 戴凤君1; 谭 亚2; 姚允龙1
1.江苏省水文水资源勘测局镇江分局，江苏 镇江 212028;
2.河海大学, 江苏 南京 210098
Author(s):
BAI Liying1; DAI Fengjun1; TAN Ya2; YAO Yunlong1
1.Zhenjiang Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau of Jiangsu Province，Zhenjiang 212028，Jiangsu;
2.Hohai University，Nanjing 210098，Jiangsu
关键词:
感潮河段; 调和分析; 调和常数
Keywords:
tidal reach; harmonic analysis; harmonic constants
分类号:
[TV124]
文献标志码:
B
摘要:
长江镇扬河段属感潮河段，尝试采用适合于河口海岸的自动分潮优化技术、基于高低潮资料的调和分析改进型方法以及河口潮位径流增量修正法，计算镇江站的调和常数，预报其天文潮位，同时建立特征潮位、预报误差的统计分析。结果显示：虽然高低潮位误差在30 cm 以内合格率为82.4%，仅达到乙等，但高潮位的预报精度达到了甲等，表明采用调和常数预报镇江站天文潮高潮位可行。
Abstract:
The Zhenjiang Reach of Yangtze River is a tidal reach. Methods of automatic tide-flow optimization technique, an improved method of harmonic analysis based on high tide and low tide data, and incremental correction of tidal flow in the estuary, which were suitable for the estuary coast, were tried to calculate the harmonic constant of Zhenjiang Station and to forecast the astronomical tide. At the same time, the statistical analysis of characteristic tide and prediction error were established. The results showed that the high and low tide level error within 30cm qualified rate was 82.4%, which only reached B, but the prediction accuracy of high tide reached A, which showed that it was feasible to predict the high tide of astronomical tide in Zhenjiang Station by using harmonic constant.

参考文献/References:

[1] 杨正东，朱建荣，王彪，等.长江河口潮位站潮汐特征分析[J].华东师范大学学报（自然科学版），2012（3）:111-119.
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[3] 傅太生，姚允龙，陆益.相应水位变化相关法预报长江干流感潮河段潮位的探讨[J].水文，2007，27（4）:56-58.
[4] 陈沈良，胡方西，胡辉，等.长江口区河海划界自然条件及方案探讨[J].海洋学研究，2009，27（增刊）：1-8.
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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2017-07-20
作者简介：白立影（1981-），女，硕士，工程师，主要从事水文水资源相关工作。
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-10-15